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Are opinion polls good pointers to election victory?


In recent years, pollsters have wrongly predicted who is going to win various elections. Notably the victory of President Trump in 2016 U.S presidential election was not predicted or at least by mainstream media and popular pollsters across the Atlantic. Also during the referendum to decide Britain’s relationship with the European Union, no pollster saw it coming that Britain will vote to leave the union. Hence it is valid that scepticism be raised about whatever the pollsters have got to say right now, the caveat however was the prediction of Emmanuel Macron that was correctly predicted but given the person of Marie Le pen, it is perhaps not difficult to predict the outcome of the French election. --->